Google You Can Fly My Car
Posted on | May 28, 2014 | No Comments
“We were promised flying cars. Instead we got 140 characters,” – Peter Thiel
Google’s driverless car prototype is now being shown on YouTube; its network TV alternative. The car has no steering wheel, no mirrors, and no brakes. All you do is search, search, and watch Google TV while the car gets you to your destination. Don’t get me wrong; I like the idea. However, as I pointed out in a previous post, Google sees an opportunity to monetize the road. Here I want to ask the question: What about clouds? Not “the cloud,” but doesn’t Google want to monetize the skies? (update 2019: Larry Page started a company called Kitty Hawk to build flying cars)
This post is a follow-up to my essays “Monetizing the Automatrix” and “Google You Can Drive My Car” about the advertising and search strategies helping to motivate the search giant’s innovations in driverless vehicles. After all, if we can create a safe environment and technologies for the driverless car, would it not be relatively easy to apply those technologies to vehicles that fly?
Wired’s investigation of driverless cars identified some challenges, such as small animals and signaling cyclists. Still, we can expect many safety innovations that will be part of both driver-less and people-driven cars.
Extrapolating from the driverless car, can we expect a flying car? I was recently intrigued by the work of MIT’s Mary Cummings and particularly an article in Scientific American called “The Flying Car Will Finally Fly—and DriveFuture.” It was a special edition called “The Science Of The Next 150 Years: 50 Years in the Future.” It raises the question, will we bypass the Automatrix and go right to the Aeromatrix?
A former Naval aviator, Prof. Cummings has been working primarily on drones, but she makes a connection to the pilot-less flying plane. She cites Internet-inventor ARPA’s support for both driverless cars and drones as being influential. Still, much of her reasoning comes from being a Navy pilot rather than her work as an academic.
Being a fighter pilot, she realized her job was quickly being replaced by automation. Not only did computers fly jets better, but they bombed better. The Tomahawk missile, for example, could hit the tip of a needle from a thousand miles away.
The Scientific American article refers to the Aerocar. Initially built in 1949 and approved by the now-defunct Civil Aeronautics Administration (CAA), it was a vehicle that could be converted into an airplane in a matter of minutes. In many ways, it is easier for computers to fly an airplane than it is to drive a car. Granted, the consequences of mistakes can be more extreme.
Every kid from my generation was inspired by the flying cars in The Jetsons, the cartoon show about the family of the future.
My contention is that people don’t want to drive all the time if they have another option. While driving can be relaxing and a respite from the day’s grind, they may want to text, surf the Internet, or relax, meditate, or even sleep. Google plans to monetize the road by cashing in on these trends.
A note about my fanciful optimism: I recently taught a couple of MBA courses on innovation, which helped me discern some characteristics that might make the driverless car, and perhaps the flying car, a reality. Whether the driverless car or driverless flying car “takes off” depends on several factors, including government regulation and some tricky safety issues.
But Cummings points out that the trends towards substantially increased safety are significant. What is crucial is if car manufacturers can identify the relevant customer groups. For example, will it attract new customers who opted for public transportation in the past? This market looks limited in the US but might be attractive internationally. How about customers who find cars too expensive to maintain and would rather just use a
Zip Car now? Or Uber? Perhaps subscribing to a car service for a certain amount of hours a week/month? Probably most important group are the frustrated consumers who are willing to pay for the added convenience of having a car drive them to the market, to work, and maybe even send the car to pick up the kids from school.
Pennings, A.J. (2014, May 28) Google, You Can Fly My Car. apennings.com https://apennings.com/ditigal_destruction/disruption/google-you-can-fly-my-car/
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Tags: Aeromatrix > Automatrix > driver-less cars > driverless car > drones > Mary Cummings
The Surveilling Eye of Global Financial News
Posted on | May 20, 2014 | No Comments
Abbreviated notes from a recent talk to the Korean International Studies Association at Hankuk University of Foreign Studies in Seoul, South Korea, May 17, 2014.
This summer I’m starting an inquiry into global financial news that will combine a formalistic look at the meaning-making processes that constitute television news while also incorporating the importance of surveillance, a long recognized mass media function. Both deserve additional scrutiny in an age of sophisticated digital media and telecommunications capabilities that have changed the dynamics of global finance and its impact on countries around the world.
I elaborated on 3 points that tie a formal analysis of television financial news with a political economy of global money and the mass media function of surveillance.
- Global news is part of a global surveillance apparatus that uses increasingly sophisticated forms of digital techniques to mediate the events, processes and people of the world in a variety of representational forms such as live statistical feeds and price information, info-graphics, live split-screen guest interviews from remote locations, etc.
- Countries exist within an “information standard” that replaced the gold/dollar standard created at Bretton Woods with a global system of high tech financial trading reacting in various ways to information and news flows.
- This information standard disciplines government policy as the amounts of money in global circulation seriously challenge the capability of any individual country to effectively control key aspects of their economic and financial policy.
Surveillance of the world plays a unique role in the financial industry by providing a wide variety of mediated economic and financial news related to geopolitical risk and opportunity. Furthermore, it is important to place the analysis of financial news within the political context of a larger techno-structural environment of global financial trading that works to discipline countries, companies and people around the world. The implications of this global web have been amplified by the extraordinary volume and velocity of the system that sees tens of trillions of dollars of trades transacted every day.
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Anthony J. Pennings, PhD is the Professor of Global Media at Hannam University in South Korea. Previously, he taught at St. Edwards University in Austin, Texas and was on the faculty of New York University from 2002-2012. He also taught at Victoria University in Wellington, New Zealand and was a Fellow at the East-West Center in Hawaii in the 1990s.
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Tags: financial news > Information Standard > political risk > surveillance > television news
E-Commerce with Chinese Characteristics
Posted on | April 22, 2014 | No Comments
When Deng Xiaoping, the Communist leader who transformed China into state-centric capitalism had his famous economic realization, “I can distribute poverty or I can distribute wealth,” he probably could not have imagined the power of the Internet and its e-commerce capabilities.
Deng and other post-Mao Communist leaders pursued “Socialism with Chinese Characteristics” with the argument that China had mistakenly entered into Communism during its feudal stage instead of waiting until advanced capitalism, as Marx had theorized. Private ownership and a market economy were suddenly embraced as solutions, not problems. This allowed the Chinese Communist Party to legitimize both its turn to market capitalism and the continuance of its political control over the country through Marxist ideology.
So now, China has propelled itself into a major economic power. While this transformation has been accomplished primarily through a low-cost labor strategy in special export-oriented economic zones, they have also embraced the Internet and it’s e-commerce capabilities. President Xi Jinping recently said, “Efforts should be made to build our country into a cyber power,” He is even heading an Internet security and informatization leading group, and stressed that the Internet is central to China’s security and development as well as people’s life and work. A case in point, the number of its Internet users has risen to nearly 600 million, twice as many as in the U.S.
One of the earliest Chinese startups was the Alibaba Group, now considered its most dominant e-commerce player and a major force facilitating its international trade. Along with rivals Tencent and Baidu, Alibaba has taken China into the frontiers of net-centric commerce and communication. Forget the smog and traffic and overcharging hawkers, e-commerce is transforming Chinese consumer culture.
China will take another step in its “socialist” journey as Alibaba tenders its IPO (Initial Public Offering) in the United States. It started recently with US$1 billion to gauge the registration process. China’s largest e-commerce group may worth in excess of $160 billion. Granted a lot of this may be public relations hype dreamed up by Yahoo, which currently owns 24% of Alibaba and stands to make some $10 billion in a successful IPO. But let’s take a closer look at e-commerce in China.
Jack Ma founded Alibaba.com in 1999 with 17 partners and quickly raised money from Softbank, Goldman Sachs, and other institutions to build the Alibaba.com site and brand. In a classic Internet rags-to-riches drama, Ma learned English by listening to the radio and created the company after he discovered the Internet while on a business trip to the US during the 1990s.
The former English teacher and interpreter named the company after the main character in one of his favorite stories, the Arabic classic Ali Baba and the Forty Thieves. For Jack Ma, Ali Baba was the kind son of a merchant who helped his village. It didn’t hurt that the name was easy to spell and a provocative name.
Since then, they have built an array of companies under the Alibaba banner, starting with Alibaba.com that was set up as a B2B (Business to Business) trading platform for small manufacturers to sell their products to each other. It has since expanded to offer a wide range of online services operating globally.
Taobao.com is its “online mall” with some 300 million customers that operates like a combination of Amazon and eBay, allowing approved sellers to auction or sell their goods outright. On November 11, Singles Day, Taobao and Tmall, Alibaba’s two main platforms, set an amazing record. They sold some 35 billion yuan (US$5.75 billion) in the 24-hour period, surpassing last year’s sales of 19.1 billion yuan.
Founded and owned by the Alibaba Group, Taoboa’s revenues reached 29 billion yuan in 2009 and have been growing significantly the last few years. It deals in China’s currency, the yuan, and uses Alipay as the preferred payment platform. Alipay is an escrow-based online payment system which is owned by the Alibaba Group. Although China’s Central Bank is placing renewed attention on payment systems, the payment solution site has nearly 500,000 C2C, B2C and B2B merchants using its services, not including those on Taobao and Alibaba.
Based in Hangzhou, just inland from eastern China’s Shang Hai metropolis, the company focuses on three online opportunities:
– Using the www.1688.com site, the domestic business-to-business trade in China has been Alibaba’s financial base. Alibaba connected 1688 with Taobao to form a supply chain of manufacturing businesses, distribution businesses and consumers. Taobao is China’s largest online shopping site and has a very popular mobile app. The video below provides insight into the Chinese online consumer. Alternative link to CNBC video on Alibaba.
– The purchase of Vendio Services Inc. with funding from George Soros, brought together importers and exporters from more than 240 countries and regions with substantial English-literate populations. It was combined with AliExpress, an Amazon-like factory-direct platform for retail purchasing, complete with incredible bargains and the occasional ripoff.
– Alibaba.com Japan is a subsidiary of SOFTBANK Corp. (alibaba.co.jp)and conducts business-to-business trade between small and medium enterprises in Japan with buyers and suppliers, including some from China. Yahoo Japan and Alibaba’s Taobao have connected e-commerce platforms to provide B2C services both ways. Yahoo Japan has opened a section in Chinese in its shopping section, carrying millions of products from China (in Japanese language) while Alibaba’s Taobao is offering wares from Japan-based companies on “TaoJapan”, a Chinese-language section on Taobao’s frontpage. Japanese telecom/media giant Softbank has a major financial interest in both Alibaba and Yahoo Japan and stands to benefit handsomely from the IPO.
As the economic momentum continues to move to Asia, e-commerce will increasingly be at the center of the new social dynamic. While China follows the world trend of rising inequality between the rich and the rest, Chinese leaders seemed to have learned the lesson of USSR Communism – workers need material rewards to stay motivated. The proletariat needs incentives to keep up the long hours on the mobile phone production line. E-commerce provides the lure and the fulfillment of those consumer desires. They can see what they want online, pay for what they want online, and have it delivered in the physical world (Maybe soon with Amazon-style drones?-). Socialism with Chinese characteristics takes an electronic turn.
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Determining Competitive Advantages for Digital Firms, Part 2
Posted on | April 18, 2014 | No Comments
In a previous post on competitive advantages, I discussed some structural characteristics for digital media firms. Using the framework laid out in Curse of the Mogul: What’s Wrong with the World’s Leading Media Companies as a point of departure, I was able to extend their analysis of traditional media companies to the more dynamic realm of digital media and tech firms. To be successful, these new companies need to understand how to shore up barriers to entry to solidify their positions and become profitable. Within the competitive environment of the Internet, it is important to be aware of how companies can ward off other companies looking to capture their market share.
The authors critique media moguls for not paying adequate attention to four general categories of competitive advantages: economies of scale; customer captivity; cost; and government protection. Previously, I covered economies of scale and customer captivity. I paid particular attention to network effects that are one of the most critical determiners of success for net-centric firms. Customer captivity in terms of habits, search costs, and switching costs are also important determinants of success for companies dealing with digital media programming, products, and applications.
In this post, I focus on innovation, cost, and government protection. Media companies need to proactively develop and protect new technologies as well as instill a culture of rapid learning and implementation. They also need access to vital resources, whether raw minerals or refined human knowledge and skills. Lastly, government support can help a firm develop a competitive advantage.
Innovation involves developing, utilizing, and protecting technologies, implementing a climate of learning, and applying new knowledge to fundamental production and work processes. While the book puts these under the category of cost, I thought it might be more beneficial to examine these processes through the lens of innovation. This rationale is partially due to the changes in GDP measurement that now include many aspects of research and development – as well as media production – as capital expenditures and not expenses.
Digital media firms need to develop key proprietary technologies that they can use and protect. This increasingly involves software enhancements to core products and technological innovations such as recommendation engines and other “big data” solutions. Guarding the firm against cyber-espionage and techniques like reverse engineering has become a high priority.
Utilizing intellectual property protections such as copyrights, trademarks and the use of patents, including the business method patent can provide legal protection for a product and protect against encroaching companies. Patents, for example, give the owner the exclusive use of a technology for 14-20 years.
Digital media firms should strive for constant improvements in production and efficiencies to separate themselves from the “pack” through organizational learning. They should also be cognizant of the opportunities inherent in disruptive innovations that may initially offer poorer performance, but that may improve or reach new audiences over time.[2]
As digital media companies traffic in various types of communication and content, it is crucial that they find new ways to produce, package and monetize media. The authors are wary of business models based on content “hits” and stress instead the importance of producing continuous content. This may require innovations in digital media production, programming, and ways to utilize user-generated content.
Cost issues involve ensuring access to essential resources or what economists call “factors of production” (land, labor, capital, entrepreneurship). These might be cheap energy and other natural resources, talented labor, sources of investment as well as expertise in startups. Google’s Finland data center and the Green Mountain Data Center in Norway are good examples of attempts to use the cold waters in those areas to cool thousands of servers and reduce energy costs.
Raw materials may not be considered critical for digital media sectors directly, but to the extent that they rely on other high tech sectors, they may be indirectly reliant on a number of raw minerals including indium niobium, platinum, and titanium. Indium, for instance, is used in touchscreens, liquid crystal displays, and to manufacture microprocessors. Africa and China are major supplies of critical raw materials for the high-tech sector.
Access to skilled labor and a climate of intellectual discussion and sharing that facilitates innovation are also important factors to consider. I’ve written previously about five digital media “archetypes”: design; technology/programming; business management; communications; and analytics. Richard Florida’s thesis that these types of talent congregate around creative clusters is instructive. He encourages areas interested in developing their creative economies to support their universities, particularly faculties that do science and technology; cultivate new industries that capitalize on creativity; prepare people for a creative global economy, and foster openness and tolerance to attract the creative class.”
Government protection can also impart benefits to a digital media business or be a deterrent to its competitors.[3] From the perspective of an individual digital firm, it can benefit from outright subsidies, grants or guaranteed loans. The Small Business Administration (SBA) and the National Telecommunications and Information Administration (NTIA) are two of the most supportive US agencies for digital enterprises.
Preferential purchase policies for companies can provide an edge. Governments often list specific advantages they are willing to provide smaller to medium sized enterprises (SMEs) especially dealing with specific sustainability, or gender/minority diversification programs. Often these are advertised as support for specific products or services.
Exclusive licenses have been a historical reality in the media business, primarily due to the importance of a scarce resource – the electromagnetic spectrum. This key media resource has gone primarily to television and radio operators, but the interest in mobile services and Wi-Fi has opened up new frequencies for use. When we created PenBC (Pennings Broadcasting Corp. – seriously), the prime asset was the FCC license for microwave transmission from the satellite dishes to high rise buildings throughout Honolulu.
The 2015 FCC auction of low-frequency spectrum was interesting to watch as incumbents AT&T and Verizon fought off other mobile carriers such as T-Mobile and satellite TV provider Dish Network that have garnered US Justice Department support to achieve a more level playing field. Verizon was the only wireless operator to win a nationwide license in the 700MHz auction in 2008. The new spectrum it won with US$ 20 billion in the 2015 auction allowed it to offer faster speeds on its 4G LTE network, so customers to do more bandwidth-intensive like watching video on their smartphones and tablets.
A government may also erect barriers to entry in favor of domestic industries to support local media content and may utilize import tariffs and/or quotas. Movies, games, and search engines are some of the areas that have experienced difficulties in breaking into certain markets. Google service in China is extremely limited. Google Maps operates under restrictions in South Korea which refused to export the country’s detailed mapping data to Google due to national security concerns.
Whether environmental, safety-related, procedural, or otherwise, regulations typically impose stricter burdens on some organizations than others. Regulations are often written up by specific companies or related trade associations beholden to specific companies. They are often aided by employees who formerly worked with related government agencies. They often write policy prescriptions and may lobby for government administrative support or legislation. The authors are somewhat glib about government intervention and recommend hiring very good lobbyists.
In “Determining Competitive Advantages for Digital Media Firms, Part 1,” I discussed barriers to entry related to economies of scale such as fixed costs and network effects. I also discussed how different forms of customer captivity can be beneficial for a digital firm. Above, I looked at innovation, cost, and government regulation. It is also important to understand that two or more competitive advantages may be operating at the same time. Recognizing the potential of reinforcing multiple barriers to entry and planning strategies that involve several competitive advantages will increase a company’s odds of success.
Citation APA (7th Edition)
Pennings, A.J. (2014, Apr 18). Determining Competitive Advantages for Digital Media Companies, Part 2. apennings.com https://apennings.com/global-e-commerce/determining-competitive-advantages-for-digital-media-firms-part-2/
Notes
[1] Jonathan A. Knee, Bruce C. Greenwald, and Ava Seave, The Curse of the Mogul: What Wrong with the World’s Leading Media Companies. 2014.
[2] Christensen, Clayton M. The Innovator’s Dilemma: When New Technologies Cause Great Firms to Fail. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School, 1997.
[3] The history of early digital innovation and development is a case study in government involvement. IBM got its start with the national census and social security tabulation. The microprocessor and the PC industry emerged through the Space Race and MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction) and the Internet can be said to have taken off after the Strategic Defense Initiative or “Star Wars” required supercomputers at different universities to use the NSFNET. National defense/security spending and other policies can help a company shore up its own defenses against competition.
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Tags: business method patents > copyrights > Cost > Curse of the Mogul > Customer captivity > cyber-espionage > disruptive innovation theory > Economies of scale > factors of production > Government protection > indium > patents > recommendation engines
Determining Competitive Advantages for Digital Media Firms, Part 1
Posted on | March 30, 2014 | No Comments
In the Curse of the Mogul: What’s Wrong with the World’s Leading Media Companies, Jonathan A. Knee, Bruce C. Greenwald, and Ava Seave provide a general critique of upper media management. The authors argue these moguls are preoccupied with “fantastical factors” that do little to provide high returns on capital, market share stability or shareholder value in a time when they are direly needed. The mogul’s preoccupation with “sham” competitive advantages: deep pockets, brands, talent (creative, managerial), a global footprint, and first-mover benefits; obscure other business factors that would likely facilitate better results.[1]
The authors argue that these managerial strategies must be more consistent with the historical performances and economic realities that have created and defined the modern (digital?) mediascape. Instead, they point out that media companies should focus on developing and reinforcing more serious competitive advantages and/or operational efficiencies. Successful media companies must define and protect more structural barriers to entry or adopt strict cost control procedures and operational efficiencies to enhance productivity.
In this post and the next, I review some of the major sources of competitive advantages according to The Curse of the Mogul and reference how they might apply to digital media firms. The book refers primarily to traditional big media firms. In light of the rapid development and convergence of these areas, however, it is worth exploring how these categories of competitive advantage apply to a wider group of digital firms.[2] The authors distinguish four categories:
- Economies of scale and network effects;
- Customer captivity;
- Cost; and
- Government protection.[3]
Due to space constraints, I will cover economies of scale and customer captivity in this post and cost, innovation, and government protection in a future one.
Economies of Scale may involve both or either fixed costs and network effects. Fixed costs refer to both the traditional sense of decreasing costs per unit produced as well as to the barriers created by a company like Google with the ability to spend lavishly on equipment, knowledge attainment and other factors that make it prohibitive for other firms to match. Large firms can spread their fixed costs over greater volumes of production and operate more profitably than their competitors. Web sites, for example, can benefit by localizing their content and expanding their reach to other countries.
In fact, one of the characteristics of digital media is that although initial production costs may run high, the costs for additional viewers to experience the resulting movie, television show, song, or video game are negligible. Digital goods can experience near-zero marginal costs.
Economies of scale for book publishers have always meant they needed to cover their fixed costs such as editors and author royalties before they can achieve profits. However, if they have a bestseller, it can be quite profitable as they spread their costs over a larger production run. Digital distribution through Amazon’s Kindle or Apple’s iBooks not only reduces the costs of production, but as no ink or paper is involved it significantly reduces the costs of delivery as well. Microsoft Office for example, which contains Access, Word, Excel, and PowerPoint can be distributed over the Internet with little expense. But that that is not necessary a competitive advantage. Digital assets also need to be protected and utilize network effects.
Network effects refer to the increasing value of a product or service that occurs when additional customers or users start to use them. Many communications technologies such as telephones, fax machines, and text applications exhibit direct network effects. The telephone system became more valuable to each individual telephone subscriber as more people connected to the phone system. When more mobile phone users started to take advantage of Short Message Service (SMS) or “texting,” it attracted even more users. When I got my first text from my sister, for example, who was not known at the time for her technological prowess, I knew that texting had arrived.
Network effects are complicated and may not always be positive, as MySpace discovered after 2008 when members abandoned it for Facebook. MySpace was a social media site that allowed users to create their own “spaces” with pictures, blogs, music, and videos. The darling of early “social networking,” it was sold to Rupert Murdoch’s News Corporation for US$580 million dollars in 2005. Two years later, with 185 million registered users, it had a valuation of $65 billion. By early 2011 MySpace was down to about 63 million, and Facebook had jumped ahead with over 500 million members. Tired of pumping money into the sinking ship, News Corp. sold MySpace to Specific Media, an advertising network for $35 million, just 6% of its purchase price.[4]
Digital firms need to consider multiple repercussions such as cross-network and indirect network effects. The authors use the example of eBay, an online auction company that benefits from cross-network effects. eBay, Uber, Airbnb, and many other “platforms” such as dating or recruiting sites are also known as two-sided networks because they bring two distinct groups together. As the number of the eBay’s customers increased, it became increasingly attractive for others to sell their wares on the site. Conversely, as more products were displayed, it attracted more customers. A major success for Microsoft Office is that files produced on Word or Excel often need to shared and read by others.
Network effects makes a site or product more valuable as it includes more people and those additional people make it more attractive for another group. Credit cards, for example, are another good example of cross-network effects. They rely on a large base of individual card holders for profitability and this large customer base than attracts merchants who want their business and are willing to pay the extra costs to the credit card company. This raises questions about who you charge and if a proprietary platform is needed.
Over-the-top (OTT) services that use the Internet as a distribution system, like Amazon Prime, Netflix, and YouTube, connect consumers with content makers. While Prime and Netflix produce considerable content, they draw on outside content producers to keep their viewers engaged. YouTube has drawn heavily on user-generated content (UGC) as does Instagram and TikTok. In each case, the platform’s success depends on its direct network effects – its ability to connect a large number of viewers with a large number of producers.
Another phenomenon is indirect network effects. This occurs when the increasing use of one product or service increases the demand for complementary goods. The standardization of the Windows platform in the 1990s, for example, and its nearly ubiquitous installed user base among PC users allowed many other software producers to thrive as they built their applications to run on the Microsoft operating system. Both Apple and Android-based smartphones have allowed thousands of apps to be added to their functionality. So the network effects attributed to the popularity of these PCs and smartphones carry over to applications that run on them.
Customer captivity is often vital to a product’s success and is reinforced through habit, switching costs and search costs. Successfully introducing customer practices and reinforcing habitual use is a crucial strategy for retaining customers. Mobile apps lock users into a much more narrow range of options than surfing the Web on their PCs. Also, Amazon’s One-click purchase option makes it quick and easy to complete the deal without dragging out the credit card and inputting all the numbers and other information.
One new digital tool that is proving effective is the recommendation engine. Netflix uses a recommendation engine to keep customers engaged. It constantly suggests titles the viewer might be interested in watching based on their previous viewing. Amazon destroyed the Borders bookstore with its recommendation engine and an effective email system that targeted customers with what they wanted. Borders could only offer pictures of loosely associated books with dubious links to the customer’s interests. I, for example, was not interested in their fine collection of Harlequin-like romance novels. Borders did not recommend the books I wanted, so I bought them from Amazon.
It is also important to keep customers from switching to competitors. Switching barriers can involve exit fees, learning effort, equipment costs, emotional stress, start-up costs, as well as various types of risk: financial, psychological, and social. Cable and home security companies are notorious for trying to keep customers in long-term contracts to keep them from switching.
Making it easy to learn new products is helpful as is reducing any stresses associated with understanding new features or upgrading. One way to keep customers is to make the payment system easy. Automatic payments work for subscription-based services like Netflix and other deliverers of online content that tie in customers through credit cards and other continuous payment systems.
Search costs encourage consumers to stay with a particular product or entice them to go with your brand if the information provided is convincing enough to cause them to give up their search. Rational consumers will tend to search until the perceived benefits outweigh the costs. Testimonials and good reviews will help alleviate their concerns. Big ticket items like cars, homes, or major appliances tend to require more search time than smaller items. But any search requires a calculation of the opportunity costs involved. What are they giving up to spend this time searching?
In the passages above, I reviewed competitive advantages as specified by the authors of The Mogul’s Curse and applied them to digital media firms. Their focus on moguls doesn’t hold as much interest for me as their discussion about competitive advantages for smaller companies.[4] Being technologically dynamic, the digital media field is still investigating and exploring its ability to create competitive advantages and erect barriers to entry.
It is also important to understand that two or more competitive advantages may be operating at the same time. Recognizing the potential of reinforcing multiple barriers to entry and planning strategies that involve several competitive advantages will increase the odds for success. In “Determining Competitive Advantages for Digital Media Firms, Part 2,” I will discuss competitive advantages related to costs and government protection.
Citation APA (7th Edition)
Pennings, A.J. (2014, Mar 30). Determining Competitive Advantages for Digital Media Companies, Part I. apennings.com https://apennings.com/media-strategies/determining-competitive-advantages-for-digital-media-firms-part-1/
Notes
[1] “Reviews: The_Curse_of_The_Mogul.” Quantum Media: Links_Reviews. N.p., n.d. Web. 30 Mar. 2014.
[2] Greenwald, Bruce C. “The Moguls’ New Clothes.” The Atlantic. Atlantic Media Company, 01 Oct. 2009. Web. 30 Mar. 2014.
[3] Jonathan A. Knee, Bruce C. Greenwald, and Ava Seave, The Curse of the Mogul: What Wrong with the World’s Leading Media Companies. 2014.
[4] Jackson, Nicholas. “As MySpace Sells for $35 Million, a History of the Network’s Valuation.” The Atlantic, Atlantic Media Company, 29 June 2011.
[5] I finally found the hard copy of this book at a Borders near Wall Street in New York City.
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Tags: Ava Seave > Bruce C. Greenwald > competitive advantages > cross-network effects > Curse of the Mogul > Customer captivity > Economies of scale > emotional stress > equipment costs > exit fees > fixed costs > Government protection > Jonathan A. Knee > learning effort > Network effects > operational efficiencies > Search costs > start-up costs > Switching barriers > The Curse of the Mogul: What Wrong with the World’s Leading Media Companies > viral marketing
Origins of the “Information Economy”
Posted on | March 16, 2014 | No Comments
The economic understanding of knowledge’s contribution to the economy accelerated in the 1970s and terms such as “information society” and the “information economy” began to achieve high rates of circulation by the next decade. When I was at the East-West Center in Honolulu as a graduate student during the 1980s, I was part of a team of economists studying the roles of communication and information in the economy. Headed by Meheroo Jussawalla, we were primarily looking at the Asia-Pacific region, although necessarily attuned to the global technological and theoretical trends of the time.
The proliferation of microprocessing technologies, particularly “microcomputers” such as the Apple II and the IBM PC, as well as the commercialization of communications satellites and other digital technologies, stimulated ideas about the social impact of “high tech” and formulations about a new type of society taking shape. Competing characterizations included the “post-industrial economy” introduced by Daniel Bell in his The Coming of Post-Industrial Society (1973). Also, the “knowledge economy” by Fritz Machlup in The Production and Distribution of Knowledge in the United States (1962) that was expanded upon in later volumes in a series called Knowledge: Its Creation, Distribution, and Economic Significance. The “knowledge society” was also popularized by Peter Drucker in his Age of Discontinuity (1992) that included a chapter with the same name.
Marc Porat‘s doctoral dissertation was an important voice in the emerging discourse that recognized the increasing importance of information as a cultural and economic phenomenon. Porat’s doctoral work at Stanford University is noted for the measures of the information economy that he created to analyze U.S. Department of Commerce employment data. It has often been cited as empirical proof that agriculture and manufacturing industries were on the decline and that the “information economy” had arrived.[1]
By focusing on the activities that workers performed rather than their explicit job titles, Porat was able to argue that, by 1980, more people in the United States were engaged in information work than any other kind of work. About 48 percent of the U.S. population were employed in one form or another of information activity, as compared to only about 3 percent in agriculture and slightly more than 20 percent in manufacturing. About 30 percent were engaged in providing services – an important category because information work and services were often statistically combined, whether flipping hamburgers or arguing a legal case. Porat helped establish information work as a separate category.
Porat and the others helped develop a conversation about a new economy based on the dynamics of information in a high-tech environment. Many saw the changes as a harbinger of a post-industrial revolution which would democratize wealth because the “nature” of information made it intrinsically undepletable and infinitely shareable. Information was also a crucial part of the automation process and would help relieve humanity of the drudgery of work. These ideas persisted well into the 1990s with the “new economy” and its resultant dot-com bubble.
Many economists did not share this utopian view. Although classical economists had based market theory on assumptions that information was free and readily available, information economists saw through this simplistic rendering. Machlup was, in fact, a student of Ludwig von Mises, and supervised his doctoral dissertation. Von Mises is better known today as the founder of the so-called “Austrian School of Economics.” With other disciples such as Friedrich von Hayek, who wrote The Road to Serfdom (1944), a critique of government planning; von Mises’ group of economists examined the role of information in markets. In particular, they focused on the use of prices as communication or signaling devices in the economy. The process of exchange, they argued, is a knowledge producing and sharing activity.
The Austrian school seemed to stumble on to the role of information in the economy while targeting their main nemesis, socialism. It was the planning activities of communist and socialist governments that drew their ire. Their targets included modern democratic political economies after nearly all non-communist countries adopted the macroeconomic ideas of John Maynard Keynes. The Austrians would be instrumental, in fact, in the Reagan-Thatcher turn to market ideology in the 1980s after a turbulent decade of inflation and economic stagnation.
These liberal-minded economists had their critics. For the less enthusiastic, usually Marxist-informed interpretations, “information” and related technologies were seen in terms of enriching the rich and expanding the global sphere of capitalist control. They saw information as a way for corporations to extract surplus value from the production process without extensive investments in additional equipment, labor, or raw materials. Information was a way to enhance productivity, but usually at the expense of the workers involved.
Herb Schiller in his Who Knows: Information in the Age of the Fortune 500 (1981) pointed out that information technologies were primarily being used by a few thousand “super-corporations” to form a transnational web of cultural hegemony and economic control. The Canadian take on communications and information, arguably started by Harold Innis and Marshall McLuhan also undertook a theoretical investigation of the economics of information. Canadians were especially sensitive to the trade in information and cultural products across the border with the USA. For instance, Thomas McPhail‘s Electronic Colonialism pointed to the globalization of a new type of empire due to the proliferation of mass media messages. This new media empire would operate by influencing the attitudes, values, and languages of people around the world.
For liberal theorists, the new information environment would also upset previously dominant structures of power and democratize society by providing information composed not from the “top”, but from diversified and autonomous sources. These would combat the dominant one-way, industrially produced, mass media messages with interactive technologies. Ithiel de Sola Pool for example, in his Technologies of Freedom, mirrored this view with a “soft” technological determinism arguing that the new converging communication and information technologies are “conducive to freedom” and are more “pluralistic and competitive.”
Peace scholar Majid Tehranian, a Harvard-trained political economist, wrote Technologies of Power in response to Pool. It remains one of my favorite books because it not only addressed the issues of economics and freedom but connected information “machines” to the complexities and importance of democracy, as well.
The above is only a cursory overview of the ferment that characterized the time. Hopefully, it points to some of the names that struggled to come to grips with the increasingly important roles of communications and information in the economy. It was an intellectual period in which the impact of information technologies was not at all as apparent as it is today.
As for me, I did my doctoral dissertation on electronic money and dystopias, because if there is one thing economists find inconvenient, it is money. Money is the Achilles heel of free market economics.
Notes
[1] Porat, Mark Uri (May 1977). The Information Economy: Definition and Measurement. Washington, DC: United States Department of Commerce. OCLC 5184933.
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Tags: Age of Discontinuity > Daniel Bell > East-West Center > Fritz Machlup > Harold Innis > Herb Schiller > Ithiel de Sola Pool > John Maynard Keynes > Ludwig Von Mises > Majid Tehranian > Marc Porat > Marshall McLuhan > Meheroo Jussawalla > Peter Drucker > Reagan-Thatcher turn > Technologies of Freedom > Technologies of Power > The Production and Distribution of Knowledge in the United States > Thomas McPhail > Who Knows: Information in the Age of the Fortune 500
How the Web Secures Your Data
Posted on | February 13, 2014 | No Comments
Central to facilitating the usefulness of net-centric communications and commerce is the set of protocols that secure private data. Information such as usernames and credit card numbers going through the Internet pass through many types of host routers, as well as your ISP — any of which can constitute a security threat. It is possible for unencrypted information to be monitored and stolen at many points along the route from sender to receiver. The following explanation of the most commonly used security system is abbreviated, but should provide a start for understanding how your data is protected on the Internet.
An initial solution that is still in use is the Secure Sockets Layer (SSL) protocol that was adopted by Netscape in the early days of the World Wide Web to protect sensitive data flowing over the Internet.
SSL starts with a “handshake”, an exchange of information that authenticates the server and sometimes the client (your computer). The process begins with the browser sending a HELLO message containing information about its security abilities and some random data that will be used later on. The server then determines which encryption methods will be utilized, based mostly on the SSL capabilities of the client’s browser, and sends it own HELLO message containing the details of the encryption method that will be used in the session. The encrypted data is then sent between the client and server.
If you are starting a website and need to provide secure transmissions, you can purchase an SSL certificate from a company like godaddy.com or another of the web services company that are SLL certificate authorities such as Symantec or highly rated DigiCert. DigiCert offers a number of different certificates and various seals that you can display to assure visitors to your site that you have properly secured the connection and are protecting their data.
Along with the HTTPS address prefix and icons like the padlock, we are now seeing changes to the address bar such as turning it green to indicate that increased SSL-based security measures are in place.
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Anthony J. Pennings, PhD recently joined the Digital Media Management program at St. Edwards University in Austin TX, after ten years on the faculty of New York University.
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Tags: (SSL) SSL > Netscape > Secure Sockets Layer
Bitcoins and the Properties of Money
Posted on | January 27, 2014 | No Comments
“Money is a matter of functions four, a medium, a measure, a standard, a store.” – Lyrical couplet used to memorize the roles of money.
Bitcoin emerged during the Great Recession to challenge the notion of official money and particularly its political and symbolic connection to a national system. While the US and much of the rest of the world teetered on financial ruin, it emerged as the great geek hope for an ultra-national currency.
Bitcoin is a complex computer-based type of digital money proposed by the mythical Satoshi Nakamoto that utilized the principles of cryptography and peer-to-peer networking. This “cryptocurrency” emerged from the calculative and recording abilities of modern processing technologies and the transactional capabilities of highly encrypted networks spanning the globe. It has been both embraced and vilified for its capacity to act as money, to transcend national regulation, and for the volatility it offers speculators.
Bitcoin’s value spiked in 2013 when it traded at around $1000. A striking example of its appreciation was a pizza purchased in 2010 by one of the Winklevoss twins for 10,000 bitcoins. The value of those coins at the end of 2013 would be worth around $10 million. One of the most intriguing aspects of this innovation is that this bitcoin money supply is “mined” by computers doing complex calculations.
But can Bitcoin conduct the activities that are required of a currency: the facilitation of exchange; the capacity to price, the ability to compare value, and the storage of wealth.
An analysis of Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency or even an electronic payment system like Paypal should start with an examination of money and how our current system works. Economists give a wide berth to the question of what is money. The standard agreement is that money is anything that can be used to buy goods and services or anything that is accepted by both sellers and buyers as payment. They also generally agree that money has the following functions that can used as criteria to evaluate the utility of a type of money:
1) Medium of Exchange – Money facilitates the exchange of goods and services. It operates as a “symbolic third”, a separate entity that helps to reconcile the value of other goods and services. It is much more efficient than barter, which requires a “double coincidence of wants” (I want your cow, you want my chickens). Money reduces the transactions costs associated with a purchase primarily by reducing the problems associated with bargaining. Can you imagine trying to negotiate for all the products and services you use? How about standing in line when four people in front of you need to negotiate for their milk and bread? Virtual currencies like Bitcoin are seen to reduce transaction costs, especially if they can be used to avoid the billions in fees paid to companies such as Visa Inc. and Citibank for the use of credit and debit cards.
2) Unit of Accounting/Measure of Value – Money is used to price products and services and to express those prices in terms of a common unit of account. It is a measure by which prices and values are expressed. By making nearly everything price-able and exchangeable, a system of comparison is created. When the prices of goods are stated in terms of the monetary unit, the relative price-value of all items become comprehensible. This function also allows for prices to be displayed – crucial for a market environment. In the US we have the dollar, in Japan the yen, and in Brazil, the real. In each case, money provides a common “nominator” – a way to use numbers to value products. It can be used to add up the wealth of a person, a company, or a nation in monetary values.
Economists use the term “nominal indicator” to refer to this process of naming a price-value in terms of monetary numbers. Indo-Arabic numerals (0,1,2,3) have been nearly universally adopted as the major money nominator around the world. The power of zero and its place-value system of writing helped displace Roman numerals and provide the vehicle for new calculative innovations. Spreadsheets have given the nominal function of money extraordinary new power by creating enhanced capabilities for budgeting and other types of financial analysis at any one point in time, or over time, or projected into the future.
3) A Store of Value – Money should have the ability to hold its value over time. Although currencies do deflate and inflate in value, it needs to be able to transfer most of its value (wealth) into the future. Granted, most people would actually like to see it increase in value. This capability of money allows it to act as a standard of deferred payment in a credit process where money is lent out with the expectation that it will be returned, with interest, at a future date. Because of its volatility, countries like Sweden have classified Bitcoin as as an asset like art or jewelry that can be taxed – and not as a currency.
Surprisingly popular, Bitcoins are accepted by a wide number of merchants and companies such as Zynga. It would seem network effects are in play as the currency becomes more popular with each additional site that accepts it. Bitcoins offer companies a new option for accepting payments and announcing your willingness can be a PR event in itself. Companies should monitor the value of the cybercurrency and convert their Bitcoins to official currencies often to avoid major fluctuations in value. Bitcoins have been subject to hacking as well and thefts have occurred. A company should also be prepared to pay taxes on any transaction as if they were dealing just with dollars.
Bitcoins suggest the possibilities of a secure, decentralized, and distributed currency system outside of control of national governance, but they also raise additional concerns and issues about the role of money in an globalized digital economy. Bitcoins promise a monetary system where its value and amounts produced are determined by it’s cryptocurrency parameters and not the influences of any individual or organization, including central banks. But how will nations control their money supply? What will it mean for organized crime? Will it create new inequalities? Will its value vary too much to be useful for anything but asset speculation or a temporary hedge?
It is likely that the international system of nation-states will continue to block Bitcoin’s growth. The Bank of Finland recently denied Bitcoin status as an official currency or even a payment instrument because Finnish law states that “a payment instrument must have an issuer responsible for its operation” according to Paeivi Heikkinen, head of oversight at the Bank of Finland. They have joined China and Germany in taking action in slowing the adoption of the virtual currency. The US on the other hand has taken a cautious approach to the issue with Fed chair Bernanke acknowledging the Fed doesn’t have the authority to supervise bitcoin and other virtual currencies. However, Bitcoin broke $1000 when Bernanke suggested that they “may hold long-term promise.”
While the future of Bitcoins is uncertain, what we should be looking at is the platform it runs on called a blockchain. This is a distributed electronic ledger shared among the nodes in a participating network and suggests a new era of online services.
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Tags: Bitcoin > blockchain > cybercurrency > digital money > medium of exchange > Satoshi Nakamoto > store of value > virtual currencies